Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000190 0.000211 0.000233 0.000259 0.000289 0.000321 0.000360
2025-03-02 0.000150 0.000180 0.000215 0.000260 0.000315 0.000381 0.000468
2025-03-09 0.000125 0.000159 0.000201 0.000258 0.000334 0.000432 0.000571
2025-03-16 0.000105 0.000139 0.000184 0.000247 0.000337 0.000460 0.000645
2025-03-23 0.000094 0.000129 0.000177 0.000249 0.000355 0.000508 0.000753
2025-03-30 0.000087 0.000124 0.000176 0.000258 0.000383 0.000575 0.000897
2025-04-06 0.000078 0.000114 0.000167 0.000252 0.000389 0.000606 0.000989
2025-04-13 0.000069 0.000103 0.000154 0.000239 0.000381 0.000614 0.001044
2025-04-20 0.000064 0.000098 0.000150 0.000240 0.000395 0.000660 0.001170
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000095 0.000150 0.000246 0.000417 0.000722 0.001336
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000090 0.000145 0.000244 0.000426 0.000760 0.001461
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000087 0.000143 0.000246 0.000442 0.000815 0.001628
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000082 0.000138 0.000244 0.000451 0.000858 0.001782
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000079 0.000135 0.000245 0.000465 0.000916 0.001983
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000075 0.000131 0.000244 0.000476 0.000968 0.002181
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000069 0.000123 0.000233 0.000467 0.000975 0.002273
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000067 0.000121 0.000235 0.000482 0.001039 0.002518
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000066 0.000122 0.000243 0.000514 0.001145 0.002898
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000238 0.000514 0.001176 0.003081
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000058 0.000110 0.000226 0.000498 0.001163 0.003138
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000056 0.000108 0.000227 0.000512 0.001231 0.003445
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000232 0.000537 0.001331 0.003878
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000053 0.000106 0.000230 0.000544 0.001384 0.004172